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钾肥静候大合同结果 国内氯化钾价格暂不明朗

作者:admin  日期:2018-11-05 14:45  人气:
据国家海关统计数据,今年1~5月,累计进口氯化钾381.3万吨,同比增长26.3%。5月份进口氯化钾25.4万吨,同比下降31.6%,创出今年以来月进口量新低。5月份的进口中,白俄罗斯以7.6万吨排在第一位,加拿大和俄罗斯列二三位,进口量分别为7.1万吨和5.5万吨。另外,中国老挝项目1.8万吨氯化钾反哺国内市场。业内人士指出,5月份进口步伐放慢的主要原因是前几个月进口量较大。
 
According to the statistics of the State Customs, from January to May this year, the total import of potassium chloride was 3.813 million tons, an increase of 26.3% over the same period last year. In May, imports of KCl 254 thousand tons, down 31.6% compared with the same period last year, creating a low monthly import volume this year. In May, Belarus ranked first with 76,000 tons, Canada and Russia ranked second and third, with imports of 71,000 tons and 55,000 tons respectively. In addition, China Laos project 18 thousand tons of potassium chloride to feed the domestic market. Insiders pointed out that the main reason for the slow pace of imports in May was the large volume of imports in the first few months.
 
 
 
目前国产钾肥价格暂稳,不过很多地区有涨价意愿,盐湖集团60%氯化钾到站报价2000元(吨价,下同)左右。港口进口氯化钾价格没有明显变化,但调涨预期较明显,业内人士分析,主要在于大合同延期,港口货源持续减少。目前港口大颗粒1900~1930元,60%俄红钾1900元,62%俄白钾2000元。营口港大颗粒1890元。边贸地区62%俄白钾报价1800元。
 
At present, the price of domestic potassium fertilizer is temporarily stable, but there is a willingness to increase prices in many areas. Salt Lake Group's 60% potassium chloride arrival quotation is about 2000 yuan (ton price, the same below). The price of imported potassium chloride has not changed significantly, but the increase is expected to be more obvious. According to industry analysis, the main reason lies in the extension of large contracts and the continuous decrease of port cargo supply. At present, the port has 1900~1930 yuan of large particles, 1900 yuan of 60% Russian red potassium, and 2000 yuan of 62% Russian White potassium. Yingkou port has 1890 yuan. The price of 62% Russian White potash in border trade area is 1800 yuan.
 
 
 
硫酸钾方面涨价传闻越来越多。华中市场有厂家报价上调了50元,河北地厂家跟进上涨50~100元。涨价意愿强烈的,还有经营国投罗钾的经销商。记者了解到,部分地区经销商销售情况较好,无库存,甚至货紧。据悉,山东硫酸钾开工率稳定在95%左右,50%粉状硫酸钾主流出厂报价2450~2500元,颗粒硫酸钾和52%全水溶粉2600~2650元,销售情况良好。不过,曼海姆硫酸钾副产品盐酸销售不理想,大多数厂家要倒贴100元左右;潍坊地区有企业已停止倒贴,甚至卖到30元左右。总体来看,硫酸钾开工率低,成本高,随着预期的氯化钾上行行情到来,硫酸钾价格可能跟涨。
 
There are more and more rumors of rising prices of potassium sulphate. In Central China, there was an increase of 50 yuan in manufacturers' quotations. Hebei manufacturers followed up by 50~100 yuan. Strong willingness to raise prices, as well as the operation of the state voted Luo dealers. The reporter understands that distributors in some areas are better in sales, no inventory, or even tight. It is reported that the starting rate of potassium sulfate in Shandong is stable at about 95%, the mainstream factory quotation of 50% powdered potassium sulfate is 2450-2500 yuan, the granular potassium sulfate and 52% water-soluble powder are 2600-2650 yuan, and the sales are good. However, Mannheim potassium sulfate by-product hydrochloric acid sales are not ideal, most manufacturers have to paste about 100 yuan upside down; Weifang area enterprises have stopped pasting, or even sold about 30 yuan. Generally speaking, potassium sulfate has low start-up rate and high cost. With the expected upward market of potassium chloride coming, the price of potassium sulfate may rise.
 
 
 
国际方面,印度大合同谈判未有新进展,去年大合同6月30日到期,部分合同氯化钾将在7~8月抵达,有传闻称,若价格上涨,可能导致印度农民需求下滑。巴西市场对大颗粒氯化钾仍有较大需求,但由于库存量较大,部分经销商甚至以低于库存成本价格销售,以便留出库存空间,保持市场价格稳定。
 
Internationally, there is no new progress in the negotiation of large contracts in India. Some contracts of potassium chloride will arrive in July to August when the big contracts expire on 30 June last year. It is rumored that if prices rise, it may lead to a decline in demand of Indian farmers. Brazilian market still has a large demand for large granular potassium chloride, but due to the large inventory, some distributors even sell at a price lower than the inventory cost, in order to leave the inventory space and maintain market price stability.

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